British Riots

To argue with a history student.

Yes. The nature of a narrative as an ordering of significance of variables to create intertemporal and intervariable interpretations, based on causal and systemic analysis.

Does it therefore, by definition, require a ground up assessment of the means by which systems of intercausal effects interact with contingent agential causes?

Will the determination of the event be best served by judgement of the immediate, critical contingentialities interacting?

Events as a poor indicator of the state of society.

Or do we wish to create a probabilistic time-scale in which critical causes are clearly identifiable, while causes which act on conditions are themselves ascertained by larger social indicators that flesh out the 'state of normalcy'.

Differing causal interpretations find their common ground in their assessment of this state. This dynamic state is to be seen as a foci of future potentialities, given probabilistic representation through the impacts of individual and social interaction and of established constants with novel effects of disruptive social forces.

A problem of social science is to establish a framework in which to characterise the general issues that arise in any such state which can adequately address both the nature of the present as an effect and conversely, as construct, and to recreate the probabilistic modeling based on any change in variables. Psychology and perspective of the agents must be included in the calculation, if only to support normal distribution type events.

Oh yes. Judging, as always, through intuition, I doubt if the riots are an isolated event. It just confirms my view that there is a strong thuggish, almost facist, undercurrent in Britain. Its buried under civilisational mud, but, like radioactive waste, its there.